As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 96% probability that StreetEasy reports that New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 is above $3,800. 8 outcomes · resolves Jan 31, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above $3,800”: If StreetEasy reports that New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 is above $3,800, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the NYC → Rentals → Median asking rent value published by StreetEasy for December 2026. This metric reflects asking rents for rental listings, not rents on executed leases or an average of monthly rents during 2026. Resolved using Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 8 outcomes. “Above $3,800” leads at 96%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Above $3,900”, is at 87%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 31, 2027.
