As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 6% probability that James Bullard is nominated as a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2027. 12 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “James Bullard”: If James Bullard is nominated as a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using Library of Congress.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 12 outcomes. “James Bullard” leads at 6%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Kevin Hassett”, is at 4%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 1, 2027.
