As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 96% probability that the published assessment average price of CIF Rotterdam 88.5% APT (SMM-WU-APT-003) as published by Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) at 8:00 AM ET on Jan 7, 2027 is above $1,500/MTU. 5 outcomes · resolves Jan 6, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above $1,500/MTU”: If the published assessment average price of CIF Rotterdam 88.5% APT (SMM-WU-APT-003) as published by Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) at 8:00 AM ET on Jan 7, 2027 is above $1,500/MTU, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves using the Avg. value published by Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) for CIF Rotterdam 88.5% APT (SMM-WU-APT-003) for the assessment dated Jan 7, 2027. The selected assessment is CIF Rotterdam 88.5% APT, code SMM-WU-APT-003, available at https://www.metal.com/tungsten/202511260001. Resolved using Shanghai Metals Market - CIF Rotterdam 88.5% APT.
