As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 75% probability that the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts is at least 1 during his second term as President. 6 outcomes · resolves Jan 21, 2029.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “At least 1”: If the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts is at least 1 during his second term as President, then the market resolves to Yes. Each article of impeachment against Donald Trump that the House of Representatives adopts counts as one, whether it is adopted alone, together with other articles in one resolution, or in a separate impeachment. Resolved using United States Congress.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 6 outcomes. “At least 1” leads at 75%, down from 96% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “At least 2”, is at 62%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 21, 2029.
