As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 54% probability that President Trump has exactly 2 Attorneys General. 4 outcomes · resolves Jan 20, 2029.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
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5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
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Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “2”: If President Trump has exactly 2 Attorneys General, then the market resolves to Yes. This count will begin with the first confirmed person to hold that position during Trump's presidency, who will count as the first. Persons operating as an Acting Cabinet member will count towards this number, provided they take office after the first person is confirmed. Resolved using Fox News, MSNBC and White House.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 4 outcomes. “2” leads at 54%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “3”, is at 21%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 20, 2029.