As of Nov 13, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 95% probability that a qualifying event does not occur. 18 outcomes · resolves Dec 15, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Event does not qualify”: If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the NVIDIA GTC Washington, D.C. Keynote originally scheduled for December 1, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the NVIDIA GTC Washington, D.C. Keynote originally scheduled for December 1, 2026 will be used. Resolved using NVIDIA Corporation Investor Events.