As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 91% probability that the Total Monetary Consideration for a U.S. Acquisition of Greenland is exactly $0 / No Acquisition during Trump's term. 8 outcomes · resolves Jan 21, 2029.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “$0 / No Acquisition”: If the Total Monetary Consideration for a U.S. Acquisition of Greenland is exactly $0 / No Acquisition during Trump's term, then the market resolves to Yes. The Total Monetary Consideration includes cash payments, Treasury securities, direct payments to residents, recurring economic assistance (calculated as 50 times the annual amount if the term exceeds 50 years), infrastructure commitments, assumed debt, and other quantified financial commitments. Resolved using The New York Times.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 8 outcomes. “$0 / No Acquisition” leads at 91%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “$10 billion to $99 billion”, is at 3%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 21, 2029.
