As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 34% probability that Erling Haaland's next club is Manchester City before Sep 1, 2027. 16 outcomes · resolves Sep 8, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
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Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Manchester City”: If Erling Haaland's next club is Manchester City before Sep 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Transfer Details The market resolves to Yes if Erling Haaland signs a contract to join Manchester City, whether via transfer fee or as a free agent. Resolved using Sky Sports, The Athletic and BBC Sport.
This Sports market on OpinionKings has 16 outcomes. “Manchester City” leads at 34%, down from 53% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Real Madrid”, is at 20%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Sep 8, 2027.
