As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 26% probability that Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of the U.S. Capitol before Jan 1, 2027. 2 outcomes · resolves Feb 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Before Jan 1, 2027”: If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of the U.S. Capitol after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using ABC, CNBC and The Wall Street Journal.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. “Before Jan 1, 2027” leads at 26%, up from 25% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Before Feb 1, 2027”, is at 25%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Feb 1, 2027.
