As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 98% probability that the U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2028 is above 56.00%. 17 outcomes · resolves Jan 5, 2029.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above 56.00%”: If the U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2028 is above 56.00%, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, “year-end” means the December 2028 reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released. The market will resolve based on the first value published for December 2028. Later revisions, corrections, or updates will not affect resolution. Resolved using Trading Economics.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 17 outcomes. “Above 56.00%” leads at 98%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Above 58.00%”, is at 94%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 5, 2029.