As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 98% probability that ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms. 2 outcomes · resolves Feb 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. Resolved using Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bureau of Labor Statistics and Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 98%, down from 99% a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Feb 1, 2027.
