As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 4% probability that a law establishing or renaming an existing agency to the Department of Community Safety has become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2027. 2 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
If a law establishing or renaming an existing agency to the Department of Community Safety has become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law. For standard legislation requiring executive approval, this includes final passage by all required legislative bodies, executive signature OR becoming law despite executive inaction OR successful veto override, and satisfaction of any required waiting periods. Resolved using ABC, The Information and MSNBC.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 4%, unchanged from a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 31, 2026.
