As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 99% probability that BLS reports Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 is above 80,000 jobs. 13 outcomes · resolves Apr 30, 2027.
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Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above 80,000 jobs”: If BLS reports Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 is above 80,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is All Employees: Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing in Washington (NAICS 3364), measured in thousands of jobs. The officially published BLS annual-average figure will be used rather than independently averaging monthly values. Subsequent revisions after determination will not affect resolution. Resolved using Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 13 outcomes. “Above 80,000 jobs” leads at 99%, up from 97% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Above 81,000 jobs”, is at 98%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Apr 30, 2027.
