As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 92% probability that the reported number of vehicles produced in Alabama in 2026 is above 1.10 million vehicles. 4 outcomes · resolves Jul 30, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above 1.10 million vehicles”: If the reported number of vehicles produced in Alabama in 2026 is above 1.10 million vehicles, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the calendar-year total number of vehicles produced in Alabama as reported in the annual state production data. It counts completed vehicles, not engines, automotive parts, production capacity, sales, or exports. Resolution uses the first published 2026 statewide production figure; subsequent revisions do not affect resolution. Resolved using Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 4 outcomes. “Above 1.10 million vehicles” leads at 92%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Above 1.15 million vehicles”, is at 80%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jul 30, 2027.
