As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 99% probability that T.J. Watt's next team is Pittsburgh before Dec 1, 2026. 33 outcomes · resolves Nov 30, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Pittsburgh”: If T.J. Watt's next team is Pittsburgh before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If T.J. Watt officially retires before Dec 1, 2026 or is not on any team on Dec 1, 2026, "Retires / No Team" resolves to Yes. If T.J. Watt remains on the team they were on upon issuance on Dec 1, 2026, then the market for that team will resolve Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
This Sports market on OpinionKings has 33 outcomes. “Pittsburgh” leads at 99%, up from 79% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Arizona”, is at 6%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Nov 30, 2026.