As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 99% probability that Ben Simmons signs a contract with any team in the Chinese Basketball Association (CBA) before Oct 1, 2027. 25 outcomes · resolves Oct 8, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Ben Simmons”: If Ben Simmons signs a contract with any team in the Chinese Basketball Association (CBA) after issuance and before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Ben Simmons must have a qualifying signing after this market is issued and before 12:00 AM ET at the start of Oct 1, 2027. A CBA team means a professional team officially recognized by the Chinese Basketball Association, the top-level men's league in China. Resolved using Sports Illustrated, Bleacher Report and Fox Sports.
