As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 12% probability that Joe Biden using Ambien before the 2024 presidential debate is reported on by any of the Source Agencies before Jan 1, 2028. 2 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
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If Joe Biden using Ambien before the 2024 presidential debate is reported on by any of the Source Agencies before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. It must be originally reported by one of the Source Agencies; e.g. a publication reporting on a person saying so is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion. Resolved using The Verge, ABC and Fox News.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 12%, up from 5% a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 31, 2027.
