As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 60% probability that the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on January 26, 2028. 5 outcomes · resolves Jan 26, 2028.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Fed maintains rate”: If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on January 26, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No. Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. Resolved using Federal Reserve.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 5 outcomes. “Fed maintains rate” leads at 60%, down from 62% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Hike 25bps”, is at 25%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 26, 2028.
