As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 96% probability that Oct 2026 is the hottest October ever. 2 outcomes · resolves Nov 15, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
If Oct 2026 is the hottest October ever, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using NCEI.
This Climate and Weather market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 96%, up from 94% a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Nov 15, 2026.
