As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 22% probability that the President of the United States has been impeached and convicted by the U.S. Senate before Jan 20, 2029. 3 outcomes · resolves Jan 20, 2029.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Before his term ends”: If the President of the United States has been impeached and convicted by the U.S. Senate before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. The President must be the sitting President as of the day. the Senate votes on conviction to be included in this market. Resolved using U.S. Senate.
