As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 56% probability that the United States announces the opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Syria before Jan 1, 2028. 2 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2028.
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Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Before 2028”: If the United States announces the opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Syria after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. The embassy or consulate must either be opened or have a confirmed opening date. Re-opening an embassy after suspended operations also qualifies. Resolved using The New York Times.
