As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 94% probability that the winner of the next Philippine presidential election is Sara Duterte. 6 outcomes · resolves May 31, 2029.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Sara Duterte”: If the winner of the next Philippine presidential election is Sara Duterte, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
This Elections market on OpinionKings has 6 outcomes. “Sara Duterte” leads at 94%, up from 56% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Risa Hontiveros”, is at 16%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes May 31, 2029.
