As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 71% probability that Hakeem Jeffries visits the White House after Dec 9, 2025 and before Jan 1, 2027. 22 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Hakeem Jeffries”: If Hakeem Jeffries visits the White House after Dec 9, 2025 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This means a physical visit to any of: The Executive Residence, the West Wing, the East Wing, the Eisenhower Executive Office Building, and all gardens, lawns, and outdoor spaces within the secured perimeter of the White House, including the Rose Garden and the South Lawn. Resolved using ABC, Fox News and MSNBC.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 22 outcomes. “Hakeem Jeffries” leads at 71%, up from 70% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Mark Carney”, is at 26%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 1, 2027.
