As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 21% probability that BLS reports that the labor force participation rate for people ages 25 to 54, seasonally adjusted for any reference month from August 2026 through July 2027, inclusive, is strictly above 84.0%. 2 outcomes · resolves Aug 6, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
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If BLS reports that the labor force participation rate for people ages 25 to 54, seasonally adjusted for any reference month from August 2026 through July 2027, inclusive, is strictly above 84.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. This market will use the seasonally adjusted labor force participation rate for people ages 25 to 54 reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation release for series LNS11300060. Resolved using Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation and Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index.
