As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 88% probability that a qualifying sale of the Las Vegas NBA expansion franchise is publicly announced and within the period ending on December 31, 2026 at a Headline Transaction Value above $8 billion. 7 outcomes · resolves Jan 7, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above $8 billion”: If a qualifying sale of the Las Vegas NBA expansion franchise is publicly announced after Issuance and within the period ending on December 31, 2026 at a Headline Transaction Value above $8 billion, the market resolves to Yes. The underlying is the reported franchise enterprise value (implied 100% value) of the Las Vegas NBA expansion franchise. A definitive purchase agreement and all required regulatory and league approvals must satisfy the filed Consummation requirements by expiration. Resolved using The Wall Street Journal, Associated Press and The New York Times.
This Sports market on OpinionKings has 7 outcomes. “Above $8 billion” leads at 88%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Above $9 billion”, is at 82%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 7, 2027.
