As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 98% probability that Delcy Rodríguez de facto holds the position of head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026. 8 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Delcy Rodríguez”: If Delcy Rodríguez de facto holds the position of head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using Bloomberg, Agence France-Presse and New York Times.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 8 outcomes. “Delcy Rodríguez” leads at 98%, up from 97% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “María Corina Machado”, is at 5%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 1, 2027.
