As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 96% probability that the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2034 is above 0.5%. 13 outcomes · resolves Jan 28, 2035.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above 0.5%”: If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2034 is above 0.5%, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the 2034 annual value for GDP under “Current-dollar measures” in the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis release titled “GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2034,” or its equivalent successor publication. Resolved using Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation and Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 13 outcomes. “Above 0.5%” leads at 96%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Above 0.0%”, is at 91%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 28, 2035.
