As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 98% probability that EIA reports West Virginia’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 is above 72 million short tons. 7 outcomes · resolves Apr 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above 72 million short tons”: If EIA reports West Virginia’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 is above 72 million short tons, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the West Virginia Total in Table 2, Coal Production by State, of the first EIA Quarterly Coal Report containing full-year 2026 production data. Production is reported in thousand short tons and will be converted to million short tons by dividing by 1,000. Subsequent revisions will not affect resolution. Resolved using Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 7 outcomes. “Above 72 million short tons” leads at 98%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Above 74 million short tons”, is at 97%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Apr 1, 2027.
