As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 82% probability that the NYC OMB-reported FY2027 efficiency savings is above $200 million in the FY2028 Executive Budget. 7 outcomes · resolves May 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above $200 million”: If the NYC OMB-reported FY2027 efficiency savings is above $200 million in the FY2028 Executive Budget, then the market resolves to Yes. The FY2027 Executive Budget Savings Program defines efficiency savings as "active changes to agency practices that improve the City's finances without reducing service levels," including vacancy reductions.
