As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 26% probability that Zohran Mamdani is Time Person of the Year for 2026. 47 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Zohran Mamdani”: If Zohran Mamdani is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This will count towards the payout criterion: If multiple persons win, all persons that are listed are encompassed within the Payout Criterion. If, for example, the Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, both “Joe Biden” and “Kamala Harris” strikes are encompassed within the Payout Criterion. Resolved using TIME.
This Entertainment market on OpinionKings has 47 outcomes. “Zohran Mamdani” leads at 26%, down from 31% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “James Talarico”, is at 19%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 31, 2026.
