As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 97% probability that the Port Authority reports that the Port of New York and New Jersey total TEUs handled in calendar year 2026 is above 8.5 million TEUs. 9 outcomes · resolves Feb 28, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above 8.5 million TEUs”: If the Port Authority reports that the Port of New York and New Jersey total TEUs handled in calendar year 2026 is above 8.5 million TEUs, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the Port Authority’s Total TEUs figure, including both loaded and empty import and export containers. The market does not use loaded TEUs alone. Use Monthly Cargo Volumes → 2026 → YTD December → Total TEUs. Resolved using Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 9 outcomes. “Above 8.5 million TEUs” leads at 97%, up from 93% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Above 8.4 million TEUs”, is at 97%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Feb 28, 2027.
