As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 53% probability that the number of calendar days on which an RTO-wide PJM Maximum Generation Emergency/Load Management Alert – Capacity Emergency – NERC EEA 1 was applicable in 2026 is above 15 days. 4 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above 15 days”: If the number of calendar days on which an RTO-wide PJM Maximum Generation Emergency/Load Management Alert – Capacity Emergency – NERC EEA 1 was applicable in 2026 is above 15 days, then the market resolves to Yes. A calendar day counts once if the specified emergency procedure was applicable for any portion of that day, regardless of how many separate postings were issued. Only postings applying to PJM-RTO will count; emergencies limited to individual zones or regions will not. Resolved using Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
