As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 78% probability that the number of times the U.S. House of Representatives impeaches Donald Trump is at least 1 during his second term as President. 4 outcomes · resolves Jan 21, 2029.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “At least 1”: If the number of times the U.S. House of Representatives impeaches Donald Trump is at least 1 during his second term as President, then the market resolves to Yes. An impeachment is the House of Representatives adopting a resolution that impeaches Donald Trump, however many articles of impeachment it contains. Each such resolution counts once. Resolved using United States Congress.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 4 outcomes. “At least 1” leads at 78%, up from 77% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “At least 2”, is at 29%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 21, 2029.
