As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 44% probability that Stifel Financial serves as a lead underwriter for OpenAI's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028. 15 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Stifel Financial”: If Stifel Financial serves as a lead underwriter for OpenAI's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. The bank must serve as lead underwriter, book-running manager, or global coordinator as documented in SEC filings (Form S-1 or final prospectus) or official announcements. Joint book-running managers qualify. Direct listings, SPAC mergers, secondary offerings, and private placements do not qualify. If the bank merges with another institution, the surviving entity under any name qualifies. Resolved using Fox Business, ABC and CNBC.
This Financials market on OpinionKings has 15 outcomes. “Stifel Financial” leads at 44%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Raymond James”, is at 42%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 31, 2027.
