As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 94% probability that the Maine Department of Marine Resources reports that Maine commercial lobster landings for calendar year 2026 is above 55 million pounds. 8 outcomes · resolves Mar 31, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above 55 million pounds”: If the Maine Department of Marine Resources reports that Maine commercial lobster landings for calendar year 2026 is above 55 million pounds, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the statewide Lobster commercial landings total published by Maine DMR for 2026, measured in live pounds. The market concerns landings volume, not landed value, number of fishing trips, or number of individual lobsters. Resolved using Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 8 outcomes. “Above 55 million pounds” leads at 94%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Above 60 million pounds”, is at 91%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Mar 31, 2027.
