As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 90% probability that Bitcoin halves before Jun 1, 2028. 4 outcomes · resolves Jun 1, 2028.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Before Jun 2028”: If Bitcoin halves before Jun 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using The New York Times.
This Crypto market on OpinionKings has 4 outcomes. “Before Jun 2028” leads at 90%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Before May 2028”, is at 73%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jun 1, 2028.
