As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 29% probability that Hugh Jackman is cast in the next official X-Men motion picture produced by Marvel Studios before Jan 1, 2029. 29 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2029.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Hugh Jackman”: If Hugh Jackman is cast in the next official X-Men motion picture produced by Marvel Studios before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using ABC, Fox News and MSNBC.
This Entertainment market on OpinionKings has 29 outcomes. “Hugh Jackman” leads at 29%, down from 52% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Hunter Schafer”, is at 27%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 1, 2029.