As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 10% probability that the United States acquires any part of Greenland before Jan 21, 2029. 2 outcomes · resolves Jan 21, 2029.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Before January 21, 2029”: If the United States acquires any part of Greenland before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. An announcement by the United States and the entity that controls any part of Greenland that it will happen is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. any part of Greenland must come under formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, where it was not previously. Resolved using The New York Times.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. “Before January 21, 2029” leads at 10%, down from 15% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Before 2027”, is at 2%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 21, 2029.
