As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 66% probability that any AI lab solves another Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2028. 4 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Before 2028”: If any AI lab solves another Millennium Prize Problem after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. A Millennium Prize Problem counts as solved on the first date that, by Expiration, remains unretracted and either: A complete proof, disproof, or counterexample addressing the problem as originally formulated by the Clay Mathematics Institute is published in a reputable peer-reviewed mathematics or scientific journal. Resolved using The Guardian, National Academy of Sciences of the United States and Financial Times.
This Science and Technology market on OpinionKings has 4 outcomes. “Before 2028” leads at 66%, down from 72% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Before Jul 1, 2027”, is at 58%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 31, 2027.
