As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 98% probability that the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 is above 447,500 jobs. 7 outcomes · resolves Apr 30, 2027.
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Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above 447,500 jobs”: If the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 is above 447,500 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. The underlying is the Wisconsin Manufacturing figure in BLS's Annual Average Table 1: Employees on nonfarm payrolls in states and selected areas by major industry, measured in thousands of jobs. Relevant BLS monthly series: SMS55000003000000001 — Wisconsin Manufacturing, All Employees. The officially published annual-average figure will be used rather than independently averaging monthly estimates. Resolved using Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 7 outcomes. “Above 447,500 jobs” leads at 98%, up from 96% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Above 450,000 jobs”, is at 96%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Apr 30, 2027.
