As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 7% probability that the Supreme Court of the United States has overturned Obergefell v. Hodges before Jan 1, 2029. 2 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2029.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
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If the Supreme Court of the United States has overturned Obergefell v. Hodges after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Obergefell v. Hodges will be considered “overturned” if the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled that the Constitution of the United States does not guarantee the right to marriage to same-sex couples. Resolved using Supreme Court.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 7%, down from 9% a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 1, 2029.
