As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 13% probability that a federal ban on public access to open-source AI models is enacted in the United States through legislation, an executive order, a regulation or another binding federal measure before Jan 1, 2027. 2 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
If a federal ban on public access to open-source AI models is enacted in the United States through legislation, an executive order, a regulation or another binding federal measure before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the measure to become legally binding. Resolved using White House, United States Congress and Federal Register.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 13%, unchanged from a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 31, 2026.
