As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 98% probability that USA qualifies for the 2030 Men's FIFA World Cup main tournament. 76 outcomes · resolves Jan 14, 2031.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “USA”: If USA qualifies for the 2030 Men's FIFA World Cup main tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. Important information: This market resolves Yes if USA officially qualifies for the 2030 Men's FIFA World Cup under the qualification format in effect for that tournament. Any change to the tournament format, including an expansion or reduction in the number of participating teams, will not affect resolution; this market will resolve solely based on whether USA qualifies for the main tournament. Resolved using Sky Sports, Fox Sports and FIFA.
This Sports market on OpinionKings has 76 outcomes. “USA” leads at 98%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Mexico”, is at 96%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 14, 2031.
