As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 60% probability that the value of the S&P 500 Index is above $8,000 at any point before Mar 1, 2027. 4 outcomes · resolves Mar 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Before Mar 1, 2027”: If the value of the S&P 500 Index is above $8,000 at any point after Issuance and before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using For example, Google Finance.
This Financials market on OpinionKings has 4 outcomes. “Before Mar 1, 2027” leads at 60%, down from 69% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Before Feb 1, 2027”, is at 43%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Mar 1, 2027.
