As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 5% probability that a qualifying one-minute average of the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) is above $100,000 at Nov 2, 2026 at 12:45 PM EST and before Nov 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM EST. 2 outcomes · resolves Nov 30, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
If a qualifying one-minute average of the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) is above $100,000 after issuance at Nov 2, 2026 at 12:45 PM EST and before Nov 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes. The source is CF Benchmarks. Each minute after issuance and before the deadline is evaluated separately: discard the highest 20% and lowest 20% of BRTI observations in that minute and average the remaining 60%. The qualifying average must be strictly greater than the threshold; equality does not qualify. Resolved using CF Benchmarks.
